"In the long-term, however, they still want to absorb South Korea by force, so Pyongyang thinks their ICBMs can dissuade the US from intervening in a military crisis on the Korean peninsula. They wanted to (absorb South Korea) back in 1950, but couldn't because of the US military intervention," he said.
This is the end game for Kim Jong-un, just as it was for his grandfather, Kim Jong-il, when his forces crossed the 38th parallel on June 25, 1950, in a surprise attack.
Kim Jong-un knows that his reunification dream cannot be fulfilled as long as U.S. forces remain on the peninsula, so he has once again called for the U.S. military to leave.
The West was surprised by the DPRK's launching of an ICBM so soon. Most experts thought we had more time And North Korea may have more plutonium than originally thought, enough for it to create MIRVed warheads for its ICBMs. Even if its missiles are not accurate, ten or so warheads raining down on the continental U.S. will cause unimaginable devastation.
The liberal government of South Korea has asserted that Kaesong, the now-suspended industrial park on the border of the two Koreas, was not a source for the DPRK's weapons programs. This is not surprising, given that the new president, Moon Jae-in, was chief of staff under the second of two consecutive presidents espousing the Sunshine Policy, the appeasement program that funded North Korea's nuclear weapons and missile programs.
We'll probably soon hear of Sunshine Policy 2.0, where South Korea restarts the giving of money without conditions, instead of requiring that all aid be in the form of food directly delivered to North Korean people by South Korean personnel. Kim Jong-un will use this money to develop mobile weapons systems, ones he will use in Korean War 2.0.
And all of this will occur while North Korea continues to offer ersatz slaves to Russia, China, United Arab Emirates, and other countries, as well as abusing them at home.
North Korea's demand for the 13 workers who defected to South Korea to be returned confirms that the DPRK has not changed one bit since the early 1950s. The main reason the Korean War went on for three years was the DPRK's demand for all POWs to be returned, regardless of the wishes of the POWs.
Chinese companies continue to supply the DPRK with missile parts, machinery to manufacture missiles, truck launchers, and Mercedes Benz automobiles for Kim Jong-un, while China condemns all sanctions and attempts to reign in the DPRK's perilous antics, while refusing to plan for a possible implosion of North Korea.
Kim Jong-un is hoping for the perfect storm. He saw Moon Jae-in become angry when he learned that THAAD anti-missile systems were installed at the last minute before he took office. He hopes to see selfish Republicans pull U.S. forces from the Korean peninsula so they can give a bigger tax cut to the wealthy. And he sees Trump, the ultimate detached president with respect to facts and strategy, make threats based on whims. Because without the U.S. boots on the ground, a repeat of the Fatherland Liberation War has a good chance of success.
The form of the gambit is still unclear. The DPRK wouldn't be able to hide tanks massed for attack from the electronic eyes of spy satellites, but tunnels under the DMZ could serve as private highways. After attacking, the DPRK would immediately notify the U.S. that if it interferes, the DPRK will launch MIRVed ICBMs at the continental U.S. China would also notify the U.S. that interference north of the DMZ will be grounds for war. The U.S. would have to decide just how far Kim Jong-un would go. He probably wouldn't launch ICBMs as long as he's likely to stay alive and in power, but if the U.S. was eradicating his military, as it would within a few days, he would launch them. The U.S. would be forced to decide if a nuclear attack on the homeland was worth the risk, not to mention a major war with China.
South Korea would vigorously defend its territory, with Seoul and Pyongyang being destroyed as they were during Kim Il-sung's invasion. However, the deaths of millions or even tens of millions of Koreans would be of no consequence to Kim Jong-un. There would be plenty of new slaves to keep him and his sycophants in French wine and lobster.
Trump proposed that we give South Korea tactical nukes to destroy the invaders, but would Moon Jae-in really use them against fellow Koreans, especially since his parents were from North Korea?
"Great Leader! I will be sure to destroy the Earth! What good is this Earth without North Korea?" replied Kim Jong-il to his father's hypothetical query regarding North Korea's reaction to certain defeat on the battlefield.
"That is surely the answer. I am pleased to see that a new North Korean general has been born at this very gathering. Henceforth, I transfer to you the operational command of the North Korean military," Kim Il-sung replied.
Kim Jong-un is both his father's son and his grandfather's grandson.